Inversion
Solve problems backwards
Definition
Inversion is a mental model that involves approaching problems from the opposite direction. Instead of asking “How do I achieve X?” you ask “How do I avoid not-X?” or “What would guarantee failure?” By avoiding stupidity rather than seeking brilliance, you often achieve better outcomes.
“Invert, always invert.” — Carl Jacobi
Two Types of Inversion
1. Start at the End
Work backwards from the goal:
- What does success look like?
- What step immediately precedes that?
- Continue back to where you are now
2. Avoid Failure
Identify what leads to failure, then avoid it:
- What would guarantee this fails?
- What are the biggest risks?
- How do people usually mess this up?
Examples
Example 1: Personal Finance
Forward question: How do I get rich?
Inverted question: How do I avoid being poor?
- Don’t accumulate high-interest debt
- Don’t live beyond your means
- Don’t speculate with money you can’t lose
- Don’t ignore compound interest
Result: Avoiding these pitfalls often leads to wealth more reliably than seeking windfalls.
Example 2: Relationships
Forward question: How do I have a happy marriage?
Inverted question: What ruins marriages?
- Contempt (eye-rolling, mockery)
- Defensiveness (never admitting fault)
- Stonewalling (shutting down communication)
- Criticism (attacking character, not behavior)
Result: John Gottman’s research shows avoiding these four behaviors predicts marital success better than pursuing “romance.”
Example 3: Business Strategy
Forward question: How do we dominate the market?
Inverted question: What kills companies?
- Running out of cash
- Hiring the wrong people
- Losing focus (trying to do everything)
- Ignoring customers
- Competing on price alone
Result: Many successful businesses are defined more by what they don’t do than what they do.
Example 4: Health
Forward question: How do I get healthy?
Inverted question: What makes people unhealthy?
- Poor sleep habits
- Sedentary lifestyle
- Processed food
- Chronic stress
- Smoking and excessive alcohol
Result: Avoiding these is more important than any supplement or biohack.
Why Inversion Works
Asymmetry
- It’s easier to avoid bad decisions than make great ones
- Negative knowledge (what not to do) is more robust
- Failure modes are more consistent than success paths
Psychological Relief
- Solving for “avoid failure” reduces anxiety
- Stopping bad habits is more concrete than starting good ones
- Defensive posture is cognitively easier
Survivorship Bias
- We study successes but learn more from failures
- Failure is more common and data-rich
- What not to do is often more universal
How to Apply Inversion
Step 1: State the Goal
“I want to achieve X.”
Step 2: Invert
“I want to avoid not-X.” “What would guarantee not-X happens?”
Step 3: List Failure Modes
Brainstorm all ways to fail at the goal.
Step 4: Create Avoidance Strategies
For each failure mode, identify how to prevent it.
Step 5: Execute the Avoidance
Focus energy on not doing the stupid thing.
Combined with Forward Thinking
Best results come from combining both approaches:
Forward: “What great things should I do?” Inverted: “What terrible things should I avoid?”
The intersection is where success lives.
Related Concepts
- Survivorship Bias — Studying failures inverts success stories
- Status Quo Bias — Sometimes the inversion is to change nothing
- Expected Value — Calculate both positive and negative outcomes
- Margin of Safety — Inverted risk assessment
Quotes
“It is remarkable how much long-term advantage people like us have gotten by trying to be consistently not stupid, instead of trying to be very intelligent.” — Charlie Munger
“If you would not be forgotten as soon as you are dead and rotten, either write things worth reading or do things worth writing.” — Benjamin Franklin (inverted: how not to be forgotten)
Avoiding stupidity is easier than achieving brilliance. Start there. 🙃